Business Leaders Survey

A monthly survey of service firms in New York State, northern New Jersey and southwestern Connecticut, conducted by the New York Fed.

 

Note: Survey responses were collected between February 3 and February 11.

Download the full reportPDF 
Business activity declined modestly in the region’s service sector in February, according to firms responding to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Business Leaders Survey. The survey’s headline business activity index fell five points to -10.5, its lowest level in more than a year. The business climate index fell fourteen points to -35.6, suggesting the business climate was considerably worse than normal. Employment declined modestly, and wage growth accelerated. Supply availability worsened for the first time since 2022. Input and selling price increases picked up. Looking ahead, firms expect conditions to improve in the months ahead, though optimism dropped noticeably.

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Released at or shortly after 8:30 a.m.



2025

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Historical Reports >>


Latest Report including charts of diffusion indexes PDF

Historical Tables

Diffusion Indexes
csv

Data definitions PDF 2 pages / 10 kb

All Data
csv

Data definitions PDF 2 pages / 10 kb

The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. This survey is designed to parallel the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, though it covers a wider geography and the questions are slightly different. Participants from the service sector respond to a questionnaire and report on a variety of indicators, both in terms of recent and expected changes. While January 2014 is the first published report, survey responses date back to September of 2004 and all historical data are available on our website.

The survey is sent on the first business day of each month to the same pool of about 150 business executives, usually the president or CEO, in the region's service sector. In a typical month, about 100 responses are received by around the tenth of the month when the survey closes.

For demonstration only:
Sample survey PDF 3 pages / 44 kb

Respondents come from a wide range of industries outside of the manufacturing sector, with the mix of respondents closely resembling the industry structure of the region.

The survey's headline index, general business activity, is a distinct question posed on the survey (as opposed to a composite of responses to other questions). Currently, no indexes are seasonally adjusted since none of the series exhibits stable seasonal patterns from a statistical perspective.

Contacts
Tech help: nyrsf.webteam@ny.frb.org

Questions about survey/data: richard.deitz@ny.frb.org or (716) 849-5025


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